#### Re: Expectation of life in 1930 in the United States

Sarah L Meyer

Meron Lavie wrote that she would be interested in the future life expectancy
of a man age 55 in 1930, and that she would like an actuary to comment on
this.

I am a life actuary, I obtained the 1930 population mortality table from
the Society of Actuaries and calculated future life times for both men and
women at various ages (>from 0 to 117). A man who was 55 in 1930 would have
a future expected lifetime of 17.05 years and a woman aged 55 in 1930 would
just *average* lifetimes based on the probability of death at various ages
in 1930. And you would get different answers with different tables. The
population table was an age nearest birthday table, but the census is based
on age last birthday, so I averaged age 55 and age 56. A table based on
insured mortality would be different as would one based on annuitant
mortality. A newborn boy in 1930 could expect to live 57.48 years and a
newborn girl could expect to live 60.83 years. Without the average
demographics of the population at that age, I do not have the data to
provide an average lifespan.

Sarah L M Christiansen PhD FSA MAAA
Georgetown, TX
Researching: Poland, Israel, Canada US: ALPERN ANK(I)ER BIGOS GELBFISZ
HALBFINGER KAFRI KARMEL(EK) PASSENSTEIN PERLSTADT SZPILBAUM WAGNER STOKFISZ
Latvia, Ukraine, Israel, Argentina, US: KART ARONSON EDELBERG EISENSTEIN
SCHLAMOVITCH Argentina: DRIMER ESRUBILSKY Ukraine US: BIRGARD(OVSKY) PERCHIK
HITE (KHAIT/CHAIT/HEIT) US New York: FISHMAN STERN PROBSTEIN

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